Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.320766 3.520426 3.732286 3.974947 4.246612 4.543051 4.893305
2024-10-20 2.965946 3.222531 3.507160 3.849654 4.255248 4.726434 5.324821
2024-10-27 2.677112 2.961966 3.288671 3.697190 4.203536 4.823921 5.664563
2024-11-03 2.555516 2.880619 3.266690 3.769850 4.426154 5.282020 6.539023
2024-11-10 2.475722 2.840726 3.289049 3.898098 4.735987 5.906127 7.795584
2024-11-17 2.319004 2.692909 3.162845 3.820106 4.760006 6.142873 8.554934
2024-11-24 2.172856 2.547792 3.027984 3.716148 4.733568 6.301892 9.244757
2024-12-01 2.063331 2.442401 2.936983 3.663330 4.774717 6.575430 10.246534
2024-12-08 1.970914 2.353375 2.861029 3.623980 4.830811 6.886565 11.467544
2024-12-15 1.921559 2.318373 2.856092 3.687481 5.058999 7.555051 13.873919
2024-12-22 1.813191 2.197004 2.721593 3.542444 4.921354 7.506215 14.463644
2024-12-29 1.762040 2.151617 2.692481 3.557691 5.061555 8.047533 17.182023
2025-01-05 1.674191 2.058726 2.600265 3.484476 5.072043 8.409372 20.160467
2025-01-12 1.590584 1.967711 2.505400 3.399223 5.051424 8.714899 23.650956
2025-01-19 1.507285 1.873148 2.399683 3.287125 4.965372 8.851447 26.940514
2025-01-26 1.474612 1.849737 2.400167 3.355229 5.252691 10.102810 42.618318
2025-02-02 1.453476 1.841795 2.423824 3.467205 5.663150 12.027074 97.256727
2025-02-09 1.397822 1.779570 2.357434 3.409474 5.686955 12.737188 185.601039
2025-02-16 1.341867 1.714322 2.282322 3.328617 5.643633 13.203083 450.204136
2025-02-23 1.298146 1.665634 2.231240 3.288535 5.693841 14.128318 NaN
2025-03-02 1.259583 1.623064 2.187640 3.258697 5.765835 15.264303 NaN
2025-03-09 1.239106 1.607260 2.187294 3.313639 6.075333 18.064587 NaN
2025-03-16 1.189592 1.544323 2.104219 3.194712 5.884750 17.785461 NaN